During the 20th century, three polls questioned outstanding
scientists about their attitudes toward science and religion.
James H. Leuba, a sociologist at Bryn Mawr College,
conducted the first in 1914. He polled 400 scientists
starred as "greater" in the 1910 American Men
of Science on the existence of a "personal
God" and immortality, or life after death. Leuba
defined a personal God as a "God to whom one may pray in
the expectation of receiving an answer." He found that
32 percent of these scientists believed in a personal God,
and 37 percent believed in immortality. Leuba repeated
basically the same questionnaire in 1933. Belief in a
personal God among greater scientists had dropped to 13
percent and belief in immortality to 15 percent. In both
polls, beliefs in God and immortality were less common among
biologists than among physical scientists. Belief in
immortality had dropped to 2 percent among greater psychologists
in the 1933 poll. Leuba predicted in 1916 that belief in a
personal God and in immortality would continue to drop in
greater scientists, a forecast clearly borne out by his
second poll in 1933, and he further predicted that the
figures would fall even more in the future.
Edward J. Larson, professor of law and the
history of science at the University of Georgia, and science
journalist Larry Witham, both theists, polled National
Academy of Sciences members in 1998 and provided further
confirmation of Leuba's conjecture. Using Leuba's
definitions of God and immortality for direct comparison, they
found lower percentages of believers. Only 10 percent of NAS
scientists believed in God or immortality, with those
figures dropping to 5 percent among biologists.