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FEATURE ARTICLE

The Growing Threat of Biological Weapons

The terrorist threat is very real, and it's about to get worse. Scientists should concern themselves before it's too late

Steven Block

"Black Biology"

Beyond the smallpox scenario, what has people worried is the impact of modern biotechnology. For better or worse, the world is in the midst of a stunning revolution in the life sciences. Scientists have already determined the complete genomic sequences for more than 30 microbes and even more viruses. The DNA code for the cholera pathogen (Vibrio cholerae) was recently published, and the genomes of more than 100 other microorganisms are now being sequenced??including the bacteria that cause anthrax, plague, dysentery and typhoid. Of course, the new information is critical for answering fundamental and practical questions in biology and medicine, and will be put to direct, practical use in a myriad of health-related applications. But what about "black biology"? Could biotechnology be used to produce a new generation of biowarfare agents with unprecedented power to destroy? Or is this just alarmist hype? No one can say for sure, but many molecular biologists familiar with the relevant technologies seem inclined to a pessimistic view.

Figure 7. Click to Enlarge Image

A key reason for pessimism is the ease with which genetic manipulations are now accomplished. Back in the summer of 1997, JASON (a group of primarily academic scientists, which consults on technical matters for the U.S. government and its agencies) addressed the problem of next-generation bioweapons threats. The JASON study explored a wide range of future possibilities open to genetically engineered pathogens, including some that could be achieved with the current state of the art and others that are??happily??still some way off. The prospects are sobering. Both bacteria and viruses may now be engineered to be qualitatively different from conventional bioweapon agents. In terms of bioweaponry, this includes imbuing them with such "desirable" attributes as safer handling, increased virulence, improved ability to target the host, greater difficulty of detection and easier distribution.

Several broad classes of unconventional pathogens were identified by JASON. These include "binary" bioweapons, which, by analogy with chemical weapons, are two-component systems in which each part is relatively safe to handle, but which become deadly in combination, and "designer" variations on genes, viruses and complete life forms, including chimeras that mingle existing components. Once gene therapy becomes a medical reality, the technology that allows the repair or replacement of defective genes might be subverted to introduce pathogenic sequences. "Stealth" viruses could be fashioned to infect the host but remain silent, until activated by a trigger. New zoonotic agents (those transmissible from animals to people) might be developed specifically for bioweapon purposes by modifying existing pathogens to seek human hosts. Finally, detailed knowledge of biochemical signaling pathways could conceivably be used to create "designer diseases."

Of course, some of these exotic possibilities seem downright superfluous given the dangers posed by the current generation of bioweapon agents. Then again, fusion-based hydrogen bombs seem superfluous, given the destructive power of fission-based weapons. For now, even the most rudimentary genetic manipulations could be used to enhance a bioweapons threat, for example by introducing antibiotic resistance into a weaponized bacterial strain.

Figure 8. Vaccination against anthraxClick to Enlarge Image



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