I think a way to answer Bruce Sampsell's question might be to run a simulation with the choice being made after the host has opened the door, and show that that agrees with his prediction. Thus you show why his intuition is correct, and also why his intuition is wrong (depending on whether one's first choice is made before or after the host opens the door). I find it necessary to satisfy my intuition - if I can't show why it is wrong, how do I my "right" answer is right?
posted by Andrew Tan
August 28, 2008
Connect With Us:
An early peek at each new issue, with descriptions of feature articles, columns, and more. Issues contain links to everything in the latest issue's table of contents.News of book reviews published in American Scientist and around the web, as well as other noteworthy happenings in the world of science books.
To sign up for automatic emails of the American Scientist Update and Scientists' Nightstand issues, create an online profile, then sign up in the My AmSci area.
Receive notification when new content is posted from the entire website, or choose from the customized feeds available.
JSTOR, the online academic archive, contains complete back issues of American Scientist from 1913 (known then as the Sigma Xi Quarterly) through 2005.
The table of contents for each issue is freely available to all users; those with institutional access can read each complete issue.
View the full collection here.