Vacationing in Italy, you wander into the coastal village of
Velia, a few hours south of Naples. On the edge of town you
notice an archaeological dig. When you go to have a look at
the ruins, you learn that the place now called Velia was
once the Greek settlement of Elea, home to the philosopher
Parmenides and his disciple Zeno. You stroll through the
excavated baths and trace the city walls, then climb a
steep, cobbled roadway to an arch called the Porta Rosa.
Perhaps Zeno formulated his famous paradoxes while pacing
these same stones 900,000 days ago. Was there something special
about the terrain that led him to imagine arrows frozen in
flight and runners who go halfway, then half the remaining
half, but never get to the finish line?
That night, Zeno visits you in a dream. He brings along a
sack of ancient coins, which come in denominations of 1,
1/2, 1/4, 1/8, 1/16, and so on. Evidently the Eleatic
currency had no smallest unit: For every coin of value 1/2
n
, there is another of value 1/2 n+ 1
. Zeno's bag holds exactly one coin of each
denomination.
He teaches you a gambling game. First the coin
of value 1 is set aside; it belongs to neither of you but
will be flipped to decide the outcome of each round of play.
Now the remaining coins are divided in such a way that each
of you has a total initial stake of exactly 1/2. The
distinctively Eleatic part of the game is the rule for
setting the amount of the wager. Before each coin toss, you and
Zeno each count your current holdings, and the bet is one-half
of the lesser of these two amounts. Thus the first wager is
1/4. Suppose you win that toss. After the bet is paid, you
have 3/4, and Zeno's fortune is reduced to 1/4; the amount
of the next bet is therefore 1/8. Say Zeno wins this time;
then the score stands at 5/8 for you and 3/8 for him, and
the next amount at stake is 3/16. If Zeno wins again, he
takes the lead, 9/16 to 7/16.
In the morning you wake up
wondering about this curious game. What is the likely
outcome if you continue playing indefinitely? Is one player
sure to win eventually, or could the lead be traded back and
forth forever?