The rich get richer and the poor get poorer. You've heard that
before. It is a maxim so often repeated, and so often confirmed
by experience, that it begins to sound like a law of nature, as
familiar and irresistible as gravity. And indeed perhaps there
is some physical or mathematical rule governing the
distribution of wealth in the world. No such general principle
is going explain the specifics of who gets rich and
poor, but it might illuminate the overall statistics.
This idea goes back at least a century to the work of the
Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto, who tried to show that the
income distribution in all cultures and countries has the same
mathematical form. In recent years the topic has been taken up
with renewed enthusiasm by a small band of
"econophysicists," who apply principles of statistical
mechanics to questions in economic theory. The essence of their
approach is to study an economy as if it were a many-body
physical system such as a gas. Just as random collisions between
gas molecules give rise to macroscopic properties such as
temperature and pressure, random encounters between individuals
in an economic system might determine large-scale phenomena such
as the distribution of wealth.
Some of the
computational models for exploring these issues are remarkably
easy to build and run. It takes just a few minutes' effort and a
few lines of code. On the other hand, it's also remarkably easy
to make subtle mistakes of implementation, as I'll have occasion
to mention below. And the big challenge is not building the
models but interpreting the resultsıdeciding which kinds of
random encounters might represent events in a real economy.